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306 

FNUS54 KMRX 171433 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE NORTHERN TENNESSEE BORDER WILL SHIFT 

NORTHWARD TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN SWING ACROSS THE REGION 

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-13)  41-46 (-1)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+16)  92-97 (0)    59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.37         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   41-46 (-1)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   88-93 (-2)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      S 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   45-50 (0)    60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   85-90 (+1)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  S 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         S  6         SW 11 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW 32        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   49-54 (+3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   87-92 (+3)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 S 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  6         S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.40         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   48-53 (+3)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   88-93 (+2)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-5)   44-49 (0)    60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   91-96 (+3)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.37         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 29        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   47-52 (0)    63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   91-96 (+7)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 33        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1033 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013 /933 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   50-55 (+3)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   89-94 (+8)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8                     S 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  6         SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.42         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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