

724 

FNUS54 KMRX 160716

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY. A WEAK 

COLD FRONT WEST OF THE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO NORTHERN TENNESSEE 

TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A 

CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE FRONT. 

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY

AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   42-47 (-1)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  87-92 (+2)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G25                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW  9 G17    NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.16         0.09         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            125 VERY GOOD             13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   42-47 (-2)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   85-90 (+9)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 16 G29                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 10 G24     E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.04         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 38                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   42-47 (-3)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    83-88 (+12)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 17 G32                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W 12 G24     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.02         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      W 13         

DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   45-50 (+1)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   83-88 (+7)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G25                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    SW  9 G18    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 15         

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   44-49 (+2)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   83-88 (+1)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G23                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W  8 G17     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 16         

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   44-49 (+1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   83-88 (0)    56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G26                 NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     W  7         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.17         0.03         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NE  6        

DISPERSION            118 VERY GOOD             13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   45-50 (-1)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+7)   81-86 (+6)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G25                 NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     W  6         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.02         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      SE  7        

DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

316 AM EDT SAT MAR 16 2013 /216 AM CDT SAT MAR 16 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   47-52 (+1)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   81-86 (+6)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G23                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    W  6         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            107 VERY GOOD             34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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