

048 

FNUS54 KMRX 151836

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL CONTINUE TO FEEL MORE LIKE 

SPRING...FEATURING MILDER TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL BE A FEW DEGREES 

ABOVE NORMAL. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WARMER AIR AS 

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETS UP NEAR THE NORTHERN TENNESSEE BORDER. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+16)  60-65 (+5)   42-47        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   50-55 (+10)  92-97        70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G23     NW  7 G15    NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.09         0.16         0.21         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      S  5         

DISPERSION                         124 VERY GOOD             8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+17)  59-64 (+6)   42-47        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+8)   49-54 (+8)   88-93        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     W 14 G25     W  9 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.08         0.13         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         118 VERY GOOD             9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-161945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+16)  61-66 (+5)   42-47        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   42-47 (+3)   84-89        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G27                 W  6 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G24    W 16 G28     W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.07         0.06         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-161945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+15)  66-71 (+5)   44-49        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+3)   39-44 (+3)   84-89        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW 13 G24    SW  8 G17    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-161945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+14)  66-71 (+4)   43-48        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   42-47 (+6)   82-87        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G21                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W 12 G23     W  7 G15     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+15)  64-69 (+6)   44-49        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+12)  43-48 (+6)   87-92        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G22                 NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W 13 G24     W  5         NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.14         0.15         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      S  5         

DISPERSION                         117 VERY GOOD             8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+14)  66-71 (+4)   45-50        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   39-44 (+5)   85-90        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W 12 G23     W  5         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.15         0.14         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      S  6         

DISPERSION                         115 VERY GOOD             12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

236 PM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013 /136 PM CDT FRI MAR 15 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  68-73 (+3)   46-51        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    36-41 (+2)   84-89        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G20                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW 12 G23    SW  7        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.06         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         109 VERY GOOD             24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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