

298 

FNUS54 KMRX 150703

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL SUPPRESS SOUTH TODAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS. 

A FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH BRINGING A CHANCE FOR 

SHOWERS...MAINLY NEAR THE NORTHERN TENNESSEE BORDER LATE 

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+17)  44-49 (+19)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   85-90 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW  8 G16    W 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 35         

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+18)  41-46 (+16)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   86-91 (+8)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G21                 W 14 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W  8 G19     W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 37         

DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+18)  41-46 (+14)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+12)  85-90 (+8)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 SW 15 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW 10 G25    W 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 37         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+17)  43-48 (+16)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+15)  84-89 (+1)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  9 G20    SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 33         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+16)  42-47 (+16)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+17)  83-88 (-7)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  SW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  7 G15    W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 33         

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   76 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+19)  43-48 (+17)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   84-89 (+1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G17                  SW 13 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  7        W 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 36         

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+20)  45-50 (+15)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+11)  81-86 (+4)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  7 G16    W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 35         

DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013 /203 AM CDT FRI MAR 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+18)  45-50 (+14)  67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  83-88 (+4)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 SW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  9 G18    SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 35         

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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