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050 

FNUS54 KMRX 150139 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT. 

WARMER WEATHER WILL ARRIVE FOR FRIDAY. THE WEEKEND WILL CONTINUE TO 

FEEL MORE LIKE SPRING...FEATURING MILDER TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL BE 

A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 

WARMER AIR AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETS UP OVER THE REGION. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+6)   56-61 (+17)  43-48        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+22)  38-43 (+5)   85-90        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G18                 SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    SW  5        W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+7)   55-60 (+18)  40-45        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+14)  40-45 (+10)  86-91        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G19                  W 15 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W 13 G24     W  8 G18     W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            5 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+9)   56-61 (+18)  40-45        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+8)   39-44 (+12)  85-90        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G22                 SW 16 G31    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W 15 G28     SW 11 G23    W 15 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            5 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+6)   61-66 (+17)  42-47        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+16)  34-39 (+10)  84-89        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 SW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    SW  8 G18    SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   62-67 (+16)  41-46        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+24)  34-39 (+12)  84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    SW  7 G15    W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   60-65 (+19)  42-47        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+21)  37-42 (+9)   84-89        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    SW  6        SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 32         

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   62-67 (+20)  44-49        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+15)  35-40 (+9)   82-87        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 SW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    SW  7 G16    SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            2 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

939 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2013 /839 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+8)   64-69 (+18)  44-49        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+16)  32-37 (+8)   85-90        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    SW  8 G16    SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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