

951 

FNUS54 KMRX 140707

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TODAY BUT ANOTHER FAST 

MOVING SYSTEM WILL BRING A FEW SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES TO THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT. THE WEEKEND WILL FEEL MORE LIKE 

SPRING FEATURING MILDER TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL BE A FEW DEGREES 

ABOVE NORMAL. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WARMER AIR AS 

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETS UP OVER THE REGION. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   28-33 (+9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-20)  82-87 (+8)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  5         SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 28         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   26-31 (+8)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-17)  73-78 (0)    34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  8 G17     W  9 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     W 29         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   26-31 (+8)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-15)  81-86 (+9)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6 G16                  SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  6         SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     W 30         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   28-33 (+7)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-10)  90-95 (+19)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      W 26         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   25-30 (+5)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-16)  90-95 (+17)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      W 25         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   28-33 (+7)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-14)  82-87 (+12)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     W 26         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   32-37 (+10)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-9)   78-83 (+11)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W 26         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

307 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013 /207 AM CDT THU MAR 14 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   33-38 (+10)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-7)   83-88 (+13)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      W 28         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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