

983 

FNUS54 KMRX 131904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVERNIGHT...THEN AN UPPER AIR 

DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-9)   41-46 (+4)   29-34        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   26-31 (-18)  83-88        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    W  8 G15     W  6         SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 AM                      CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-9)   40-45 (+5)   28-33        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   24-29 (-16)  71-76        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  SW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G24    W 10 G18     W  8 G19     W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM                      

PRECIP END            4 AM                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-9)   41-46 (+5)   30-35        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   22-27 (-13)  71-76        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G20    W  7         W  5         SW 12 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 30         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-9)   47-52 (+4)   33-38        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+7)   20-25 (-10)  83-88        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G17     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-9)   48-53 (+5)   31-36        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+14)  19-24 (-13)  83-88        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G17     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-8)   45-50 (+5)   30-35        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   23-28 (-12)  81-86        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W  9 G16     W  6         SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-8)   46-51 (+5)   34-39        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   22-27 (-9)   77-82        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    W  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                                      8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT WED MAR 13 2013 /204 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   49-54 (+3)   36-41        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-2)   20-25 (-6)   82-87        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G16     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$















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