

397 

FNUS54 KMRX 130715

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SERIES OF WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH TO OUR NORTH 

DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND MAY OCCASIONALLY GENERATE A FEW 

SNOW FLURRIES AROUND THE TRI-CITIES AREA THROUGH SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA AND ACROSS THE EAST TN MOUNTAINS.  OTHERWISE...DRY 

CONDITIONS AND COOL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN 

PLACE WITH A WARMING TREND BRINGING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY 

THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  18-23 (-10)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-9)   75-80 (+4)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW  9 G18    W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            116 VERY GOOD             71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-12)  18-23 (-9)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   70-75 (-1)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G24                  NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G25    NW 12 G25    W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-140815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  18-23 (-9)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-7)   72-77 (+1)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G23    NW 10 G24    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-140815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   22-27 (-8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   68-73 (-1)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G20                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G22    NW  9 G22    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     N 18         

DISPERSION            98 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-140815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  21-26 (-8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   67-72 (-3)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G21                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G23    NW 10 G23    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            106 VERY GOOD             70 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             2                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-11)  20-25 (-9)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   71-76 (-1)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G23                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  9 G19    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   22-27 (-8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-5)   67-72 (-5)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW  7 G18    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            116 VERY GOOD             50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 AM EDT WED MAR 13 2013 /215 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   23-28 (-8)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-6)   65-70 (-6)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  7 G18    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            118 VERY GOOD             53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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