

260 

FNUS54 KMRX 121907

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SERIES OF WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH TO OUR NORTH 

DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND MAY OCCASIONALLY GENERATE A FEW 

FLURRIES...MAINLY NORTH OF THE TRI-CITIES AREA AND ACROSS THE EAST 

TN MOUNTAINS.  OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS AND COOL TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE...WITH A WARMING TREND BRINGING ABOVE 

NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-9)   36-41 (-10)  20-25        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-15)  35-40 (-9)   65-70        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW 11 G19    NW  9 G18    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   8 PM                      

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         106 VERY GOOD             69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-10)  33-38 (-12)  19-24        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-17)  37-42 (-4)   64-69        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G23                  NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW 15 G26    NW 12 G23    W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-7)   35-40 (-11)  19-24        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-18)  32-37 (-5)   67-72        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G23                  N  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW 14 G25    NW  9 G20    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   42-47 (-9)   22-27        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-17)  27-32 (-4)   64-69        14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 11 G21    NW  7        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-9)   41-46 (-10)  21-26        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-20)  29-34 (-2)   64-69        12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 12 G22    NW  7 G17    NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-9)   38-43 (-11)  20-25        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-13)  33-38 (-5)   66-71        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     NW  8 G16    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   8 PM                      

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM        8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         110 VERY GOOD             58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   41-46 (-9)   23-28        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-16)  32-37 (-1)   62-67        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G19    NW  6 G15    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

307 PM EDT TUE MAR 12 2013 /207 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   45-50 (-7)   23-28        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-18)  27-32 (-2)   63-68        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 10 G19    NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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