

549 

FNUS54 KMRX 120111 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS...AS WELL AS STRONG GUSTY 

WINDS. THE RAINFALL AND WINDS WILL TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT...WITH THE 

CLOUD COVER GRADUALLY DIMINISHING ON TUESDAY. COLDER TEMPERATURES 

WILL THEN MOVE IN BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE 

WEEK...BUT A WARMING TREND WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY 

THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130215-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-18)  48-53 (-11)  28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  39-44 (-7)   70-75        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    W  9 G16     W  8 G16     W 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               125 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 15 TO

27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130215-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-15)  47-52 (-10)  26-31        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+12)  36-41 (-11)  75-80        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 W 13 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G33    W 10 G18     W  9 G20     NW 15 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 33         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   125 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS 17 TO

28. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130215-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-17)  48-53 (-8)   24-29        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 34-39 (-14)  75-80        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 W 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G35     NW  9 G16    W 10 G21     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130215-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-17)  51-56 (-6)   27-32        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   32-37 (-27)  76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      NW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  8        NW  7 G15    NW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 24        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130215-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-15)  51-56 (-6)   27-32        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+10)  33-38 (-30)  76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     NW  8        NW  7 G15    NW 14 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 28        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               102 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-18)  50-55 (-11)  30-35        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+7)   38-43 (-6)   73-78        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  8         W  7 G15     W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                         1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM                      

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               136 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE

20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-21)  50-55 (-9)   29-34        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+14)  37-42 (-11)  72-77        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  8         W  7         NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 23        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               112 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130215-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

911 PM EDT MON MAR 11 2013 /811 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-22)  52-57 (-6)   30-35        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+11)  33-38 (-21)  69-74        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  9        NW  6 G15    NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            5 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$













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