

966 

FNUS54 KMRX 110707

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA IN THE 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME LOCATIONS WILL BE WINDY TODAY AHEAD OF 

THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. COLDER TEMPERATURES 

WILL THEN MOVE IN BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE 

WEEK...BUT A WARMING TREND WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY 

THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   35-40 (-15)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+17)  88-93 (+9)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G30                  W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G31     SW 12 G29    W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.52         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      W 18         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   37-42 (-10)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+18)  87-92 (+7)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 18 G33                  NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G34     SW 15 G33    W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.57         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      W 21         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   34-39 (-14)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+17)  83-88 (+2)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 22 G42                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G40     W 12 G34     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.51         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 45                      W 17         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-6)   34-39 (-16)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+27)  87-92 (+4)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 18 G35                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G33     W  9 G21     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.06         0.35         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 44                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-6)   35-40 (-13)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+32)  85-90 (+1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G26                  N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     W  7 G17     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.10         0.41         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   36-41 (-15)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+15)  86-91 (+5)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G23                 W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SW 10 G20    W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.52         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      W 16         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-6)   34-39 (-18)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+17)  84-89 (+7)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G28                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G26    W  9 G19     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.25         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      W 14         

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

307 AM EDT MON MAR 11 2013 /207 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-8)   33-38 (-21)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+23)  85-90 (+4)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G30                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G25    NW  9 G17    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.00         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 43                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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