

287 

FNUS54 KMRX 101900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS EVENING...



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON 

MONDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL THEN MOVE IN BEHIND 

THIS COLD FRONT FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...BUT A WARMING TREND 

WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   56-61 (-7)   36-41        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+15)  61-66 (+35)  92-97        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G30                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G26    S 17 G31     SW 12 G29    W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          0            

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.33         0.68         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 

IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 

THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   54-59 (-7)   37-42        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+18)  61-66 (+35)  93-98        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G33                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G34    S 19 G34     S 15 G33     NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          0            

PRECIP DURATION                    3            7                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.88         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 39                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   53-58 (-8)   35-40        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+23)  63-68 (+36)  94-99        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 22 G42                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G41     S 20 G40     W 12 G34     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    4            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.70         0.78         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 40                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   56-61 (-7)   35-40        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+13)  61-66 (+34)  90-95        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G35                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G35    S 15 G33     W  9 G21     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         1.20         0.61         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 40                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   56-61 (-7)   36-41        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+9)   64-69 (+36)  92-97        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G26                  N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G29    S 14 G27     W  7 G17     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.94         0.77         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   57-62 (-8)   37-42        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+8)   60-65 (+34)  91-96        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G24                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G22    S 12 G24     SW 10 G20    W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.45         0.76         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   58-63 (-7)   35-40        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+8)   60-65 (+33)  89-94        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G28                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     S 12 G26     W  9 G19     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.82         0.42         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013 /200 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   58-63 (-8)   36-41        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+14)  57-62 (+30)  83-88        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G30                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G29     SW  9 G25    NW  9 G17    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         1.03         0.25         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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