

092 

FNUS54 KMRX 101434 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



...BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A SOUTHERLY WIND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING 

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION 

TODAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY ON MONDAY...BRINGING RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY ON 

MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN 

ON TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   41-46 (+1)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    86-91 (+20)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 S 14 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     SE 10 G22    S 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 38         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   41-46 (+2)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   78-83 (+15)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 S 15 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G23    SE 16 G34    S 12 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 40         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 25 MPH 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+4)   44-49 (+1)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    74-79 (+15)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  S 17 G36     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     S 18 G42     S 14 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.70         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 44         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN 

THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   45-50 (+3)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   83-88 (+12)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G28                 S 17 G33     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G26     SE 16 G35    SE 13 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         1.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 40         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN 

THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   42-47 (+2)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   88-93 (+12)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G25                 SE 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G23    SE 14 G29    SE 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.94         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 37         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   42-47 (0)    59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   85-90 (+10)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 S 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SE  9 G22    S 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.42         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 33         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   46-51 (+5)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   82-87 (+11)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G23                  S 14 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     S 11 G26     S 10 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.81         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      S 38         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               113 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1035 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013 /935 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   48-53 (+2)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   82-87 (+14)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G26                  S 16 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G26     S 15 G29     S  7 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         1.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 36         

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN 

THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







