

037 

FNUS54 KMRX 100752

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SOUTH WIND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING 

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION TODAY. GUSTY WINDS

CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER

ELEVATIONS. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE

RIVER VALLEY ON MONDAY...BRINGING RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA ON

MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN

ON TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   41-46 (+2)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   72-77 (-1)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S 13 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G17    SE  9 G19    S 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 38         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   41-46 (+2)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   69-74 (-4)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 S 15 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SE 17 G33    S 12 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 40         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 25 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   44-49 (+4)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    62-67 (-3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  S 17 G36     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     S 18 G40     S 14 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.70         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 44         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   45-50 (+6)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   80-85 (+7)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G25                 S 17 G33     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G27    SE 16 G33    SE 13 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         1.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 40         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   42-47 (+5)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    86-91 (+5)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G24                 SE 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G24    SE 13 G26    SE 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.94         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 37         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   42-47 (+6)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   73-78 (-2)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5 G16                  S 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    SE  8 G21    S 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.42         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 33         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   46-51 (+6)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    69-74 (-1)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G20                 S 14 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     S 10 G23     S 10 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.81         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      S 38         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               113 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

352 AM EDT SUN MAR 10 2013 /152 AM CST SUN MAR 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   48-53 (+6)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+1)   75-80 (+9)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  S 16 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G26     S 13 G24     S  7 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         1.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 36         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$

















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