

202 

FNUS54 KMRX 100238 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WILL 

BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION ON SUNDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON MONDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS 

ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110345-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  62-67 (+3)   41-46        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-6)   30-35 (+5)   91-96        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     S 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         SE  9 G19    S 13 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 37         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110345-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+10)  61-66 (+3)   40-45        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   30-35 (+4)   88-93        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G19                 S 15 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE 10 G21    SE 15 G31    S 12 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 37         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110345-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   60-65 (+3)   44-49        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   80-85        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  S 19 G39     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G23     S 17 G41     S 13 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.94         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      S 39         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110345-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+9)   62-67 (+3)   45-50        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   29-34 (+1)   86-91        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G23                 S 17 G33     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G17    SE 14 G26    SE 15 G33    S 12 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         1.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      S 37         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110345-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+9)   61-66 (+2)   42-47        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   32-37 (+4)   93-98        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G23                 S 13 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 14 G23    SE 13 G26    S  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         1.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      S 33         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110345-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  63-68 (+2)   41-46        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   93-98        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G16                 S 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    SE  8 G19    S  9 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.65         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 32         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110345-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  64-69 (+3)   46-51        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-7)   29-34 (+2)   82-87        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G20                  S 15 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G22     S 11 G26     S 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.90         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      S 38         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   85 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110345-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

938 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013 /838 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   65-70 (+3)   49-54        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-8)   29-34 (+2)   75-80        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G23                  S 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     S 14 G25     S 14 G27     SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         1.28         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      S 36         

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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