

015 

FNUS54 KMRX 092025

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY 

AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WILL 

BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION ON SUNDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON MONDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS 

ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  62-67 (+3)   41-46        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-6)   30-35 (+5)   91-96        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     S 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         SE  9 G19    S 13 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 37         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   61-66 (+3)   40-45        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   30-35 (+4)   88-93        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G19                 S 15 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE 10 G21    SE 15 G31    S 12 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 37         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 

TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-102115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   60-65 (+3)   44-49        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   80-85        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  S 19 G39     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G23     S 17 G41     S 13 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.94         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      S 39         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-102115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   62-67 (+3)   45-50        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   29-34 (+1)   86-91        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G23                 S 17 G33     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G17    SE 14 G26    SE 15 G33    S 12 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         1.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      S 37         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-102115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   61-66 (+2)   42-47        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   32-37 (+4)   93-98        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G23                 S 13 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 14 G23    SE 13 G26    S  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         1.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      S 33         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   63-68 (+2)   41-46        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   93-98        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G16                 S 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    SE  8 G19    S  9 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.65         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 32         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  64-69 (+3)   46-51        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-7)   29-34 (+2)   82-87        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G20                  S 15 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G22     S 11 G26     S 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.90         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      S 38         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   85 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 PM EST SAT MAR 9 2013 /225 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   65-70 (+3)   49-54        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-8)   29-34 (+2)   75-80        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G23                  S 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     S 14 G25     S 14 G27     SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         1.28         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      S 36         

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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