

466 

FNUS54 KMRX 090210 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND A 

WARMING TREND. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE 

NORMAL ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON MONDAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND A FEW 

THUNDERSTORMS INTO MONDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   58-63 (+17)  34-39        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-10)  25-30 (-20)  74-79        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S 21         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   56-61 (+16)  32-37        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-7)   25-30 (-18)  72-77        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    S 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 18         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-100315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   56-61 (+12)  35-40        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-16)  25-30 (-10)  69-74        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     S 12 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-100315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   59-64 (+9)   36-41        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-16)  28-33 (-3)   77-82        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  8 G17    S 15 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S 28         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-100315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   58-63 (+7)   34-39        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  30-35 (+1)   80-85        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  6        S 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+1)   59-64 (+15)  34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   24-29 (-17)  74-79        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S 18         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   60-65 (+12)  37-42        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-10)  25-30 (-11)  72-77        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    S 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S 25         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

910 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2013 /810 PM CST FRI MAR 8 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   62-67 (+10)  39-44        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-12)  27-32 (-4)   74-79        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S 12 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        S  7         S  8 G19     S 14 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 29         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY...SHOWERS...COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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