

097 

FNUS54 KMRX 071959

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND 

SATURDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION INTO 

THE WEEKEND...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND. IN FACT... 

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. A COLD 

FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON MONDAY... 

BRINGING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO MONDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   43-48 (+5)   24-29        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  36-41 (-17)  75-80        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SE  7        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   42-47 (+5)   24-29        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-11)  34-39 (-18)  75-80        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  9 G19     N  5         S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+3)   45-50 (+6)   26-31        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-15)  30-35 (-16)  75-80        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7 G15    E  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      SW  6        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO 

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   50-55 (+5)   28-33        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-13)  27-32 (-13)  75-80        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S  7         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   50-55 (+5)   27-32        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-17)  27-32 (-14)  72-77        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S  6         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   46-51 (+6)   26-31        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-8)   33-38 (-16)  75-80        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SE  7        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   49-54 (+6)   28-33        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-7)   28-33 (-17)  75-80        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        NE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013 /200 PM CST THU MAR 7 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   54-59 (+6)   29-34        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-8)   24-29 (-15)  74-79        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7                     SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NE  6        NE  6        S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 15                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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