

667 

FNUS54 KMRX 060848

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES 

TO FLOW INTO THE REGION...ON THE BACK SIDE OF AN EXITING AREA OF LOW 

PRESSURE. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO HIGHER 

TERRAIN AREAS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST INTO THE REGION LATE 

THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND A WARMING 

TREND.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-15)  25-30 (+2)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+10)  95-100 (-1)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G23                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G22    NW  8 G18    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     N 20         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-17)  24-29 (+3)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   94-99 (0)    41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 19 G33                  NW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    NW 11 G24    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 38                     NW 24        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-071000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  23-28 (+2)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   93-98 (+4)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 18 G34                  N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G32    NW  8 G18    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 35                     N 16         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-071000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-20)  26-31 (+1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   90-95 (+13)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 16 G29                 N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G28    N  9 G19     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     N 18         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-071000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-20)  26-31 (+1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-11)  88-93 (+9)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 18 G31                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G30    N 10 G22     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 39                     N 18         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-16)  27-32 (+3)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    92-97 (+2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G25                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW  7 G16    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     N 15         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-16)  27-32 (+2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   88-93 (+5)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G25                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  7 G16    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     N 13         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

348 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013 /248 AM CST WED MAR 6 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-18)  28-33 (+2)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    82-87 (-1)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G26                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    N  8 G18     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 31                     N 14         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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