

809 

FNUS54 KMRX 051950

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MUCH COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...CHANGING RAIN 

SHOWERS TO SNOW SHOWERS.  SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER THE 

REGION INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN BY 

THURSDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   30-35 (-16)  25-30        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 60-65 (-2)   95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    NW 13 G22    NW 10 G19    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.15         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     N 20         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-5)   30-35 (-17)  24-29        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 55-60 (-2)   95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G31                  NW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     NW 17 G31    NW 13 G26    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.19         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 35                     NW 24        

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   32-37 (-17)  23-28        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 51-56 (-10)  92-97        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G31                  N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G30     NW 15 G28    NW 10 G20    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.16         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     N 16         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-8)   37-42 (-19)  26-31        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   51-56 (-7)   89-94        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G28                 N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G28     NW 15 G27    N 10 G19     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   38-43 (-18)  26-31        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   48-53 (-16)  85-90        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 18 G31                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G26     NW 17 G31    NW 11 G20    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 37                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          1                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   34-39 (-16)  27-32        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 59-64 (-4)   94-99        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G25                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G28     NW 13 G23    NW  9 G17    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.13         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-5)   36-41 (-16)  27-32        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+12)  56-61 (-3)   92-97        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G25                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G29     NW 13 G23    NW  8 G16    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.07         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013 /150 PM CST TUE MAR 5 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  39-44 (-18)  27-32        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+12)  50-55 (+1)   89-94        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G28                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G28     NW 14 G25    N  9 G19     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













