

249 

FNUS54 KMRX 050836

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY...AHEAD OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM MOVING EAST INTO THE AREA. MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION 

BY TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A LIGHT TO MODERATE 

SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   27-32 (-5)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+33)  90-95 (+8)   69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W 14 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW 13 G26    NW 14 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           80           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.30         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 26        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   25-30 (-6)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+30)  92-97 (+17)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W 19 G34     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW 15 G30    NW 18 G33    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.32         0.14         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 37        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-060945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   24-29 (-10)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+36)  82-87 (+11)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  W 19 G38     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G28     W 17 G33     NW 16 G32    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.18         0.11         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NW 35        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+7)   28-33 (-9)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+40)  82-87 (+1)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  NW 17 G32    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G27     W 15 G27     NW 16 G30    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 33        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   28-33 (-7)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+41)  82-87 (-5)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  NW 19 G35    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     W 15 G26     NW 18 G34    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.09         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 39        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   79 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   28-33 (-5)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+31)  83-88 (-1)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  W 15 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SW 14 G28    NW 14 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.22         0.08         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 29        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   28-33 (-8)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+35)  78-83 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  NW 16 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G24     W 16 G28     NW 13 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.13         0.05         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 30        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

336 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013 /236 AM CST TUE MAR 5 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   28-33 (-12)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+22)  74-79 (-2)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  NW 17 G30    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G28    W 15 G29     NW 15 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 33        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$













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