

344 

FNUS54 KMRX 042022

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION 

BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A LIGHT TO MODERATE 

SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+14)  48-53 (+4)   27-32        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+16)  54-59 (+30)  95-100       67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W  8 G17     NW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.65         0.30         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 30        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+15)  48-53 (+5)   25-30        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+15)  50-55 (+27)  95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W 17 G33     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     W 11 G24     NW 17 G33    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          90           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            8            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.49         0.32         0.14         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 38        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-052100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+19)  49-54 (+2)   24-29        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+5)   53-58 (+32)  95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G19                  W 15 G30     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G26    W 14 G28     NW 14 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.58         0.18         0.11         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     NW 33        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-052100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+21)  54-59 (+5)   27-32        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+18)  55-60 (+36)  91-96        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  NW 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 12 G23    W 12 G22     NW 13 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.52         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 31        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-052100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+20)  54-59 (+3)   27-32        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+20)  59-64 (+36)  92-97        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     W  9 G18     NW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.53         0.09         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 37        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+15)  52-57 (+7)   28-33        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+18)  53-58 (+30)  94-99        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     W 11 G21     NW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.61         0.22         0.08         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 30        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+20)  52-57 (+4)   28-33        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+13)  55-60 (+31)  85-90        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G20    W 12 G23     NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.57         0.13         0.05         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 29        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

322 PM EST MON MAR 4 2013 /222 PM CST MON MAR 4 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+19)  56-61 (+6)   29-34        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+18)  50-55 (+21)  79-84        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G19                  NW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW 12 G22    W 12 G21     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.41         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 30        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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