

523 

FNUS54 KMRX 040942

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

ON TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER ONLY LASTS TODAY WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING 

LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION BY 

EARLY WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF 

THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH WEDNESDAY 

NIGHT. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+13)  32-37 (+13)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-28)  83-88 (+10)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.54         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+14)  31-36 (+12)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-29)  79-84 (+14)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-051045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+15)  33-38 (+16)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-26)  80-85 (+11)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-051045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+17)  35-40 (+18)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-24)  95-100 (+26) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.41         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-051045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+17)  34-39 (+18)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-23)  95-100 (+25) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.40         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  33-38 (+14)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-22)  87-92 (+15)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.49         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  36-41 (+17)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-18)  85-90 (+17)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

442 AM EST MON MAR 4 2013 /342 AM CST MON MAR 4 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+15)  39-44 (+19)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-16)  92-97 (+27)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5        SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TD









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