

205 

FNUS54 KMRX 031955

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA BRINGING DRY WEATHER FOR 

TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVES FOR  

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE THROUGH 

TUESDAY...BUT DROP AGAIN FOR LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-2)   42-47 (+14)  31-36        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-11)  23-28 (-28)  82-87        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      S  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    W  5         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SPRINKLES    RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   42-47 (+15)  30-35        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-12)  21-26 (-28)  80-85        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G23    W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    44-49 (+16)  32-37        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-7)   19-24 (-26)  82-87        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 14 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 30        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-2)   49-54 (+16)  34-39        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-10)  21-26 (-24)  95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW 10 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-3)   50-55 (+17)  33-38        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-6)   20-25 (-23)  95-100       70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-4)   44-49 (+13)  32-37        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   22-27 (-23)  86-91        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   45-50 (+14)  35-40        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-8)   26-31 (-17)  86-91        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.46         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 29        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013 /155 PM CST SUN MAR 3 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (0)    50-55 (+15)  38-43        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-10)  24-29 (-14)  93-98        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6 G15    W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.45         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW 30        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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