

628 

FNUS54 KMRX 021928

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

PRECIPITATION WILL END EARLY TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE 

AREA BRINGING DRY WEATHER FOR SUNDAY. HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL 

REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR SUNDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF 

PRECIPITATION ARRIVES ON LATE MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-8)   32-37 (+3)   18-23        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   41-46 (-20)  72-77        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-8)   31-36 (+3)   18-23        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   40-45 (-22)  67-72        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  9 G18    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 22        

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-6)   32-37 (+2)   20-25        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   36-41 (-23)  66-71        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-6)   38-43 (+3)   21-26        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   35-40 (-21)  66-71        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-5)   38-43 (+3)   21-26        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-8)   33-38 (-22)  64-69        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   75 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-9)   36-41 (+2)   19-24        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   36-41 (-18)  72-77        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   37-42 (+1)   22-27        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   34-39 (-15)  69-74        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

228 PM EST SAT MAR 2 2013 /128 PM CST SAT MAR 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-6)   40-45 (+2)   23-28        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   32-37 (-16)  64-69        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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