

211 

FNUS54 KMRX 020923

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY...WITH LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION ENDING 

BY OR BEFORE THIS EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS DRY 

WEATHER TO THE REGION ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 

BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   19-24 (-7)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-19)  80-85 (-6)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6 G15                  NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  8        NW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   18-23 (-7)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-17)  76-81 (-8)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW 10 G19    NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-031030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   19-24 (-5)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-17)  79-84 (-10)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  9 G17    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-031030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   22-27 (-5)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-17)  79-84 (-10)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  8 G16    NW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-031030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   23-28 (-4)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-15)  76-81 (-14)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  8        NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   91 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   21-26 (-7)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-19)  75-80 (-9)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  8        NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    22-27 (-6)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-19)  74-79 (-7)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  7        NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

423 AM EST SAT MAR 2 2013 /323 AM CST SAT MAR 2 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   23-28 (-6)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-14)  71-76 (-7)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  9 G18    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD











