

623 

FNUS54 KMRX 012049

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DICTATE THE 

WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE 

WEEKEND. DISTURBANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL DELIVER PERIODS 

OF LIGHT SNOW...OR RAIN TO THE AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH DRY 

CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW 

SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-4)   32-37 (-3)   19-24        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+8)   50-55 (-19)  85-90        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  9        NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   30-35 (-3)   18-23        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+6)   54-59 (-14)  82-87        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW 10 G18    NW  7        NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.05         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   30-35 (-3)   19-24        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 53-58 (-13)  80-85        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  9 G17    NW  6        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   35-40 (-1)   22-27        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  53-58 (-14)  79-84        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8        NW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   35-40 (-1)   23-28        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+15)  54-59 (-11)  77-82        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  9 G16    NW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N 16         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN

THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   35-40 (-2)   21-26        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   49-54 (-17)  82-87        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  8 G16    NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   36-41 (-1)   22-27        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   47-52 (-16)  78-83        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  8 G15    NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN

THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

349 PM EST FRI MAR 1 2013 /249 PM CST FRI MAR 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   38-43 (-1)   23-28        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+3)   44-49 (-14)  76-81        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  9 G18    NW  7        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













