

090 

FNUS54 KMRX 010922

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DICTATE THE 

WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE NEXT 

COUPLE DAYS. DISTURBANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL DELIVER 

PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW OR RAIN TO THE AREA TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. 

HOWEVER...ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE VERY LIGHT. TEMPERATURES 

WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   24-29 (-3)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   87-92 (+5)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   24-29 (-1)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-4)   86-91 (+4)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  7 G15    NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   24-29 (0)    30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   93-98 (+13)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  7        NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 14 TO 28.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   28-33 (0)    35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    90-95 (+11)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  6        NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   28-33 (0)    35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    91-96 (+12)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  6        NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+2)   27-32 (-1)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    84-89 (+6)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   28-33 (-1)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    82-87 (+1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

422 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013 /322 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   29-34 (0)    38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   79-84 (0)    44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  5        NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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