

040 

FNUS54 KMRX 282042

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DICTATE THE 

WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE NEXT 

COUPLE DAYS. DISTURBANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL DELIVER RAIN 

OR SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA ON BOTH FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY. 

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   33-38 (+1)   24-29        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+12)  62-67 (-3)   90-95        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.16         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   31-36 (0)    23-28        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+15)  62-67 (0)    89-94        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W  8         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-012145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   30-35 (-2)   25-30        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+14)  63-68 (+6)   90-95        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO 29.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-012145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   34-39 (-1)   29-34        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+20)  63-68 (+5)   86-91        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.03         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-012145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   34-39 (0)    30-35        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+20)  59-64 (+2)   85-90        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-2)   36-41 (+2)   26-31        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+13)  59-64 (0)    87-92        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS

19 TO 28. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   36-41 (+1)   28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+8)   57-62 (+2)   84-89        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

342 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013 /242 PM CST THU FEB 28 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   36-41 (-1)   29-34        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+15)  58-63 (+5)   84-89        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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