

437 

FNUS54 KMRX 280941

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS 

THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN ALSO 

BRINGING SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   26-31 (-1)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   95-100 (+14) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G18     W  9 G16     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   23-28 (-3)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   95-100 (+18) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W 12 G23     W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 15 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-011045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-8)   24-29 (-1)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   93-98 (+16)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G20     W  9 G20     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 13 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-011045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   27-32 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   88-93 (+19)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10         NW  7 G15    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-011045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  26-31 (-4)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   95-100 (+27) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  7        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   27-32 (-1)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   88-93 (+10)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W  9 G17     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   28-33 (-1)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   87-92 (+9)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10         W  7         NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

441 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013 /341 AM CST THU FEB 28 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   29-34 (-1)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   82-87 (+10)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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