

506 

FNUS54 KMRX 271959

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 

BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH AN UNSETTLED 

WEATHER PATTERN ALSO BRINGING SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EACH 

DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   35-40 (-5)   25-30        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   59-64 (+1)   95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    W 12 G20     W  9 G17     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.06         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   33-38 (-8)   24-29        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   52-57 (+1)   94-99        67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G23                  NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G25     W 14 G24     W 13 G25     NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.06         0.09         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 15 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-282100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   33-38 (-8)   24-29        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   47-52 (-2)   95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G25                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     W 12 G22     W 10 G21     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.04         0.09         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO UPPER

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 13 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-282100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   39-44 (-7)   27-32        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-8)   48-53 (0)    90-95        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G18                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 11 G18     NW  9 G18    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.04         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 28. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-282100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    40-45 (-6)   28-33        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-13)  45-50 (0)    91-96        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G18                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W 11 G19     NW 10 G17    NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.03         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-5)   39-44 (-4)   27-32        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    50-55 (-1)   88-93        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W 12 G21     W 10 G18     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   39-44 (-4)   28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-5)   47-52 (-3)   87-92        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G17                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 11         W  8 G15     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

259 PM EST WED FEB 27 2013 /159 PM CST WED FEB 27 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   41-46 (-5)   29-34        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-14)  43-48 (-5)   83-88        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W 10 G18     W  7 G15     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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