

361 

FNUS54 KMRX 270932

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 

BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH AN UNSETTLED 

WEATHER PATTERN ALSO BRINGING SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EACH 

DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   27-32 (-5)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-10)  87-92 (+1)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 W 10 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    W 10 G19     W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 26         

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   25-30 (-5)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-15)  88-93 (+2)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G22                  W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G23     W 12 G22     W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 30         

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   26-31 (-2)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  91-96 (+1)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G25                 W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G25     W 13 G26     W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      W 26         

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   29-34 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-23)  85-90 (-8)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W 10 G20     W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 23         

DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-9)   29-34 (-2)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-24)  90-95 (-2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W 10 G19     W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 25         

DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   72 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-11)  28-33 (-5)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  82-87 (+1)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G21                 W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    W 11 G19     W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 26         

DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   29-34 (-4)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  81-86 (-2)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G21                 W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G21    W 10 G19     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 23         

DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR

SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

432 AM EST WED FEB 27 2013 /332 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   30-35 (-4)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-14)  77-82 (-11)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G21                 W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     W 11 G20     W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 22         

DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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