

236 

FNUS54 KMRX 261539 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



...UPDATED RAIN CHANCES AND HIGHS SLIGHTLY TODAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY 

TO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...DRAGGING A 

COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA TODAY. COLDER AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL 

THEN LINGER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-271630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   31-36 (-3)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+21)  92-97 (+14)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 21 G41                 SW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G37     SW  7        SW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.03         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      SW 35        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-271630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   28-33 (-7)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+19)  95-100 (+24) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 28 G50                 W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G40     SW  5        W 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      W 36         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-271630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   28-33 (-13)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+20)  94-99 (+26)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 26 G53                 SW 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G41     SW  8 G19    SW 16 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      W 38         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-271630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   32-37 (-8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+17)  90-95 (+4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 20 G41                 SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G33     SW  7 G16    SW 14 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-271630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   32-37 (-8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+19)  93-98 (0)    47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G29                 W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G20     W  5         W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      W 33         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               97 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-271630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   31-36 (-6)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+16)  89-94 (+13)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 17 G33                 SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G28     SW  6        SW 14 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-271630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    33-38 (-8)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+16)  82-87 (+10)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G30                 SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G27    SW  8        SW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 33        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   113 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-271630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1039 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013 /939 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   33-38 (-8)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+15)  84-89 (-1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G29                  SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    SW  9 G17    SW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 32        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   112 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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