

249 

FNUS54 KMRX 240807

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY.  A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL 

RETURN BY MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   27-32 (-3)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-28)  77-82 (-6)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     S  5         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   26-31 (-3)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-43)  77-82 (-14)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     S  8         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   29-34 (-1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-44)  75-80 (-5)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     S 10         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...WINDY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 30 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO

15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   30-35 (-1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-43)  87-92 (+6)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      SE 16        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   29-34 (-3)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-47)  95-100 (+14) 45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SE 16        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   10 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   27-32 (-4)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-34)  81-86 (-1)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SE  7        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   30-35 (0)    54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-26)  75-80 (-1)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SE  8        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

307 AM EST SUN FEB 24 2013 /207 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   32-37 (+2)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-28)  78-83 (0)    38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      SE 20        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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