

289 

FNUS54 KMRX 231948

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...BRINGING DRY AND 

MILD WEATHER FOR SUNDAY. A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL RETURN ON MONDAY AS 

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   48-53 (-6)   26-31        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-8)   29-34 (-31)  76-81        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   48-53 (-1)   27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  29-34 (-43)  73-78        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     SE  6 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-8)   50-55 (0)    29-34        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   25-30 (-44)  80-85        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...WINDY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   57-62 (+3)   31-36        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-11)  24-29 (-42)  89-94        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SE 17        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   57-62 (+3)   31-36        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  23-28 (-46)  90-95        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SE 17        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   51-56 (-3)   28-33        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   27-32 (-34)  77-82        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   54-59 (-2)   30-35        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-13)  25-30 (-26)  78-83        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      SE 13        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO

15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

248 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013 /148 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   57-62 (+1)   32-37        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-14)  25-30 (-27)  86-91        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      SE 22        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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