

318 

FNUS54 KMRX 230831

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE AREA TODAY...THEN HIGH PRESSURE 

WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH 

SUNDAY. AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING ON MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   29-34 (-8)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-13)  92-97 (+4)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   28-33 (-8)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-11)  95-100 (+7)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   29-34 (-9)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-19)  88-93 (-3)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  5         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+11)  31-36 (-9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-26)  90-95 (-5)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N  9         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+13)  32-37 (-8)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-16)  95-100 (+1)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   30-35 (-9)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-13)  90-95 (+3)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   31-36 (-9)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-27)  80-85 (-9)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  7         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2013 /231 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+9)   31-36 (-8)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-26)  80-85 (-14)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N  6         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













