

430 

FNUS54 KMRX 221958

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION...KEEPING RAIN ACROSS THE AREA 

TONIGHT. THE RAIN WILL END SATURDAY...THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS 

IN...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER ON SUNDAY. AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS 

EXPECTED NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES ON 

MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   51-56 (0)    28-33        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   54-59 (-9)   95-100       31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW  6        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   50-55 (+3)   29-34        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    56-61 (-7)   95-100       31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  6         NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-232100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   51-56 (+6)   30-35        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  53-58 (-17)  87-92        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-232100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   56-61 (+10)  32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  52-57 (-21)  85-90        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-232100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   55-60 (+10)  32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   54-59 (-13)  85-90        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  7         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   53-58 (+1)   29-34        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   52-57 (-6)   95-100       28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   55-60 (+4)   29-34        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   44-49 (-23)  86-91        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013 /158 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   56-61 (+7)   30-35        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  41-46 (-26)  84-89        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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