

658 

FNUS54 KMRX 220841

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA TODAY...THEN A WEAK WAVE OF LOW 

PRESSURE WILL MOVE BY TO OUR SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL 

BUILD IN SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   38-43 (+4)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+36)  95-100 (+3)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 14         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    38-43 (+4)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+41)  93-98 (+2)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 14         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   41-46 (+6)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+49)  93-98 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G29                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.13         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 13         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   42-47 (+5)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+51)  95-100 (+3)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.19         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 10         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   42-47 (+6)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+56)  95-100 (0)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.30         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 10         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             7                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   39-44 (+4)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+37)  95-100 (+8)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 13         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   41-46 (+6)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+37)  93-98 (+6)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           10           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 13         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

341 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013 /241 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    42-47 (+6)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+42)  93-98 (+4)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 13         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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