

997 

FNUS54 KMRX 212002

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

OCCASIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AS AN 

AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE REGION. A FRONT WILL STALL NEAR 

THE AREA...KEEPING A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+15)  44-49 (-1)   36-41        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+37) 70-75 (+43)  95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         S  7         S  5         W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.07         0.06         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   43-48 (-3)   35-40        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+50) 64-69 (+41)  95-100       61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  8 G16    S  6         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.08         0.18         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+12)  46-51 (-3)   38-43        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+46)  63-68 (+41)  95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G17    S  7 G17     S  6         W  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.08         0.26         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+15)  49-54 (-4)   39-44        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+37) 64-69 (+44)  95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    SE  6        SE  5        W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.09         0.31         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+15)  48-53 (-8)   40-45        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+38) 65-70 (+48)  95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.11         0.47         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          9                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+16)  48-53 (0)    37-42        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+34)  64-69 (+41)  95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         SE  5        LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.07         0.10         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+16)  52-57 (+3)   38-43        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+31)  59-64 (+34)  90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        S  5         S  5         W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.05         0.08         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 PM EST THU FEB 21 2013 /202 PM CST THU FEB 21 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+17)  52-57 (+1)   39-44        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+31)  61-66 (+37)  92-97        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         S  7         LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.05         0.12         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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