

687 

FNUS54 KMRX 210839

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL PULL INCREASING 

CLOUDS INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY...WITH RAIN SPREADING 

INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE RAIN MAY BE IN THE FORM OF 

FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS 

OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE 

REGION FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   33-38 (+16)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-11)  88-93 (+24)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.26         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     SW 26        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   31-36 (+8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-6)   90-95 (+44)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G30    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    S 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 29        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+13)  32-37 (+9)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (+1)   93-98 (+47)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 14 G35     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G22    S  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.46         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 32        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+15)  33-38 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-3)   93-98 (+38)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G23    SE  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.48         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S 29         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+13)  32-37 (+11)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (+2)   95-100 (+42) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6 G20     SE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.42         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      S 26         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    8 POOR       

MAX LVORI             3                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   33-38 (+14)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-7)   93-98 (+33)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        E  5         SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.31         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      SW 23        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   36-41 (+15)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-6)   95-100 (+34) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S  7 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  6 G16     S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.35         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013 /500 AM CST THU FEB 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  38-43 (+15)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   90-95 (+32)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  8 G20     S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.38         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      S 24         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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