

528 

FNUS54 KMRX 202008

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL CONTINUE THE 

DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS TONIGHT. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON 

THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING 

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+2)   44-49 (+7)   33-38        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-8)   23-28 (-6)   74-79        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      SW 30        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   44-49 (+7)   33-38        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-18)  23-28 (-1)   75-80        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         SE  5        S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.28         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 31        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+9)   46-51 (+10)  34-39        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-11)  23-28 (+4)   82-87        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE  7 G18    S 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.38         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 33        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+5)   51-56 (+12)  36-41        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-10)  21-26 (0)    92-97        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G19    SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.48         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 30         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   52-57 (+9)   35-40        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-18)  22-27 (+7)   95-100       62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  8 G17    SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.53         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     S 25         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          2                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+3)   47-52 (+7)   34-39        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-7)   23-28 (-3)   79-84        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        E  5         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.28         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     S 26         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   48-53 (+8)   36-41        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   23-28 (-2)   80-85        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  7         E  5         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.32         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      S 29         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

308 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013 /208 PM CST WED FEB 20 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   51-56 (+11)  38-43        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    22-27 (-2)   85-90        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  7         SE  6 G16    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.41         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     S 29         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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