

460 

FNUS54 KMRX 200754

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY. DRY CONDITIONS 

AND AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. A WARMING 

TREND WILL BEGIN THURSDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS 

FOR LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  16-21 (-1)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-20)  66-71 (-2)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  17-22 (+1)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-24)  65-70 (-3)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-8)   18-23 (+2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      12-17 (-29)  69-74 (+4)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     W  6         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH

5 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO

15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

15 TO 25 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   19-24 (0)    50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      12-17 (-26)  71-76 (-1)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W  3         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO

10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   18-23 (-1)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      8-13 (-32)   74-79 (-7)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     W  7         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   17-22 (-1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-21)  69-74 (+2)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N  5         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-8)   20-25 (+1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-19)  65-70 (+2)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NE  5        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013 /154 AM CST WED FEB 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   22-27 (0)    53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-21)  65-70 (+5)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     E  6         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 60.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$













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