

427 

FNUS54 KMRX 192010

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY 

NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. A WARMING TREND 

WILL BEGIN THURSDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS FOR 

LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-14)  34-39 (-10)  17-22        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-9)   27-32 (-16)  65-70        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  8 G16     NW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-14)  33-38 (-10)  17-22        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-11)  23-28 (-20)  63-68        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W 11 G21     NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 33                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-14)  35-40 (-8)   18-23        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-8)   19-24 (-22)  69-74        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NW  5        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-13)  40-45 (-7)   19-24        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-8)   20-25 (-18)  71-76        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  6        N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW  3        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-11)  43-48 (-4)   18-23        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-20)  15-20 (-25)  74-79        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        N  5         S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     W  5         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          1                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-16)  38-43 (-8)   18-23        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-11)  25-30 (-15)  67-72        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NE  5        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-15)  39-44 (-8)   20-25        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   23-28 (-15)  63-68        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  6        LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NE  6        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

310 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013 /210 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-13)  42-47 (-8)   22-27        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   20-25 (-15)  65-70        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    NW  6        N  5         E  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     E  7         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$













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