

639 

FNUS54 KMRX 190847

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...WITH BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND IT. A WARMING 

TREND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH ABOVE NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 

BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   17-22 (-16)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+10)  64-69 (-22)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G21                 W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 11 G20     NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      W 24         

DISPERSION            132 VERY GOOD             49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   16-21 (-15)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+9)   65-70 (-30)  20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 W 14 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W 14 G27     NW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      NW 30        

DISPERSION            109 VERY GOOD             41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   17-22 (-16)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   65-70 (-24)  14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G27                 NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G32     W 13 G27     NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            98 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   20-25 (-15)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   65-70 (-22)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     NW  9 G20    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   20-25 (-11)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+8)   64-69 (-30)  12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NW 10 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     NW 10 G19    NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             43 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   18-23 (-15)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   66-71 (-26)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W  9 G19     NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      W 21         

DISPERSION            144 VERY GOOD             51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   19-24 (-17)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   65-70 (-20)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W  8 G18     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            134 VERY GOOD             44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013 /500 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   22-27 (-16)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   61-66 (-21)  14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW  8 G19    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            113 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$







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