

388 

FNUS54 KMRX 180843

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THIS 

AFTERNOON....

...VERY STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND 

THEIR ADJACENT FOOTHILLS...



.DISCUSSION...

WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...AS SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING 

COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS INTO THE REGION 

TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...WITH WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AROUND 

THE MOUNTAINS AND THEIR ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. A WARMING TREND WILL 

CONTINUE LATER THIS WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED 

FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+22)  31-36 (+15)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-8)   86-91 (+15)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S 11 G25     W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 35        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               116 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+20)  30-35 (+16)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   86-91 (+11)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G25     S 21 G42     W 14 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 35        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+17)  30-35 (+15)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   86-91 (+5)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  SW 14 G31    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G27     S 22 G48     W 14 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 33         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+14)  32-37 (+14)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   91-96 (+11)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     S 18 G41     W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 28         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+12)  28-33 (+11)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+5)   95-100 (+15) 34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S 13 G27     W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 28         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   89 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+19)  32-37 (+14)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-4)   86-91 (+14)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S 10 G25     W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 33         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               127 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+19)  34-39 (+13)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   86-91 (+13)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G20                  SW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     S 14 G31     W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.33         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 30         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   112 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013 /500 AM CST MON FEB 18 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+14)  36-41 (+14)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   86-91 (+7)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S 14 G31     W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.37         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 25         

DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







