

790 

FNUS54 KMRX 172005

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING 

WARMER TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY RETURN ON MONDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT 

WILL THEN BRING RAIN SHOWERS INTO THE REGION...ON MONDAY NIGHT AND 

TUESDAY. ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES 

BY THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+4)   49-54 (+21)  34-39        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-11)  24-29 (-9)   70-75        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  SW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     S 11 G25     W 15 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 30         

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               133 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (+4)   48-53 (+20)  33-38        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-12)  21-26 (-9)   73-78        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW 14 G30    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G18     S  8 G18     S 14 G32     W 16 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+5)   50-55 (+19)  35-40        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-5)   19-24 (-8)   67-72        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  SW 14 G35    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S 11 G23     S 17 G36     W 16 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.26         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+6)   54-59 (+16)  35-40        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   18-23 (-4)   81-86        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  SW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     S 15 G32     W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.31         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+5)   54-59 (+16)  33-38        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+10)  18-23 (-4)   85-90        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     S 11 G25     W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+4)   51-56 (+19)  35-40        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   21-26 (-7)   70-75        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    S  9 G21     W 15 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.22         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   116 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+6)   54-59 (+19)  36-41        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   20-25 (-6)   66-71        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     S 13 G30     W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.35         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   105 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

305 PM EST SUN FEB 17 2013 /205 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+6)   55-60 (+14)  37-42        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   19-24 (-5)   67-72        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G19                  W  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G23     S 14 G29     W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.39         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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