

448 

FNUS54 KMRX 170855

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND 

MONDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BUT WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY 

RETURN ON MONDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING RAIN SHOWERS 

INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH ANOTHER WARMING 

TREND BRINGING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   17-22 (+4)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  70-75 (-6)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G22                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   16-21 (+4)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-20)  69-74 (-4)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 16 G31                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G31    W  7 G22     S  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND WINDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    17-22 (+5)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-14)  73-78 (+3)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G25                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G24    W  5         S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND WINDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   20-25 (+6)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-14)  75-80 (+12)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   18-23 (+5)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-17)  79-84 (+15)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G23                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            97 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             1                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   18-23 (+4)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-14)  70-75 (+1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G23                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   21-26 (+6)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-7)   70-75 (+1)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013 /500 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   23-28 (+6)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   70-75 (+3)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







