

723 

FNUS54 KMRX 162026

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL

CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH OUR REGION OVERNIGHT...ALONG WITH A FEW

SNOW SHOWERS. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY RETURN ON MONDAY... 

AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS ON

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-10)  30-35 (-1)   19-24        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-22)  20-25 (-29)  63-68        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 S  7 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         103 VERY GOOD             52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-9)   31-36 (+1)   18-23        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-26)  18-23 (-30)  58-63        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G28                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    NW 15 G29    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 32                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-9)   35-40 (+5)   19-24        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-22)  14-19 (-26)  59-64        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G23                 S  7 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      SW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     SW 17        

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-9)   40-45 (+6)   22-27        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-14)  14-19 (-24)  67-72        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 SE  7 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    W  9 G20     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     S 20         

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-10)  39-44 (+7)   21-26        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-9)   13-18 (-30)  67-72        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G23                 S  5 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     S 15         

DISPERSION                         94 GOOD                   64 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          2                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-9)   35-40 (+2)   16-21        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-21)  17-22 (-24)  72-77        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  S  5 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         109 VERY GOOD             35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-9)   39-44 (+5)   22-27        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-21)  16-21 (-17)  64-69        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  S  8 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      S 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            12 AM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     S 21         

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

326 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2013 /226 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-9)   42-47 (+5)   25-30        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-9)   14-19 (-16)  66-71        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  S  8 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      S 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     S 25         

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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