

571 

FNUS54 KMRX 132004

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



.DISCUSSION...

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF THIS EVENING AS AN AREA OF 

LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS THE REGION. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR 

THURSDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE 

FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND EVENING AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS 

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   46-51 (+8)   29-34        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   38-43 (-27)  77-82        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     SW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 19. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   45-50 (+7)   27-32        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   31-36 (-41)  76-81        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G25    W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

13 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   45-50 (+5)   26-31        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   26-31 (-48)  75-80        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G21    W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            4 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS 8 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 10 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-10)  49-54 (+6)   28-33        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   35-40 (-41)  82-87        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            10 PM                                  7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  50-55 (+8)   28-33        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   29-34 (-47)  79-84        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            10 PM                                  7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-9)   49-54 (+8)   28-33        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   32-37 (-40)  79-84        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G18     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            4 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-9)   51-56 (+11)  30-35        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   31-36 (-44)  76-81        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         SW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            1 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 15 TO 23. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013 /204 PM CST WED FEB 13 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  52-57 (+9)   30-35        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-10)  33-38 (-38)  77-82        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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