

353 

FNUS54 KMRX 130907

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...AND 

CONTINUE RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. THE 

RAIN MAY CHANGE TO SNOW IN PORTIONS NORTHERN TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS LATE WEDNESDAY 

AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS. DRY CONDITIONS 

RETURN FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   27-32 (-7)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+25)  86-91 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    NW  8 G17    SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 22         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   25-30 (-9)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+31)  86-91 (-7)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     NW 12 G25    W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 20         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-141000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   25-30 (-9)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+23)  81-86 (-12)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G20                  SW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  7 G19    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 17         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-141000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   28-33 (-10)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+25)  83-88 (-11)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G20                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    NW  5 G15    SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 16         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 28. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-141000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   27-32 (-11)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+25)  82-87 (-11)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW  8 G17    W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 15         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 27. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   27-32 (-9)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+28)  85-90 (-8)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  7 G16     SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 21         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   28-33 (-9)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+25)  83-88 (-7)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 29. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

407 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013 /307 AM CST WED FEB 13 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   29-34 (-10)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+15)  80-85 (-10)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 18         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









